Why we are basically screwed, LanMisa edition:
Hi. For all the people who don't really care about the game:Just skip my text. For all the people who are not town and care about the game: Just pretend I wasn't writing this. To all the town people who care, the following passage was written with you in mind.
1) We are getting outgunned hard.
We saw three deaths during the night, one death during the last day phase. I refuse to believe that SleepingTerror died of a town shot; she was widely townread and I don't remember anybody having a scumread on her. So I strongly assume this is scum KP. The three deaths during the night hint at there being a town vigilante, a scum KP and a serial killer KP, which I have no confirmation of, but it feels correct, so to say. Apart from Odd, no other person was remotely scumread, and god knows for whom AIVION died as a bodyguard. On the other hand, only Odd died, but both me and Waindo who were more widely scumread are still alive. There is also a rather high chance that Odd either didn't deliver his wooden stake to anybody or that he delivered it to a non-town player, so... in short, we are dying like flies since Scum has an approximation of three, at the very least two, kills per full cycle.
2) It's nearly impossible to lynch scum.
Okay, so looking at the night kills I believe that the assumption of a scum team plus SK is rather likely. That means that there are five non-town players in the game. And there are nine town players left. Why does it make it impossible for us to lynch anybody?
The majority only lynch, my dear friends.
With the current setup, there is only an EOD lynch if more than half the people will vote at the end of day. This being 14 people means we will need 8 votes in total to lynch somebody. On the same person.
We are nine townies in total.
The setup give scum NO reason at all to bus. If no partner dies because of auto no lynching, nobody will ever suspect them of trying to help their partner at EOD. So even if we DO figure out a wolf, unless he is PROVEN by something alike to a modpeek... scum will just abstain from voting when a partner of theirs gets into trouble. They have enough KP to just slowly kill us over the nights, there is absolutely no need for them to rush things.
So, to get a wolf lynched we need a)Identify a wolf and b) vote en bloc as town to kill them.
At the last EOD, barely half of the players had cast a vote AT ALL.
Thus, our biggest weapon as town, the lynch.... basically doesn't exist any more. Which is kind of uncool.
3) Inactivity kills our roles
Since this is a role madness game, I assume that you guys, unlike me, have strong roles. Apart from Odd as a weaponsmith we didn't have extremely strong roles drop yet (although SleepingTerror would have been VERY useful to get at least a single(!) town controlled lynch through...). The problem is.... half of the game is apparently on a snoozefest. I think that at least 75% of the players have reads on less than 50% of the alive players. The number of players that is actively talked about is so minimal that I don't remember some players even being mentioned yet. This is alarming, since first, it allows wolf players to just be non-committal, which makes it VERY easy for them to coast by just refusing to give reads on their teammates, and it makes it even HARDER to get to any kind of consensus in case we DO want to get at least a single lynch through before the game ends. It ALSO makes it harder for the power roles to use their abilities properly, since they simply don't know whom to use their powers on and how this might affect the game state.
Personally, I hate losing, but I also don't fancy the idea of fighting an uphill battle as a single person. I can't win this by myself. I HEAVILY emplore the players around to come and try to turn this around. It's going to be AWFULLY difficult, but we should be able to say that we TRIED at least. And if we DO manage to end up winning.... then this will be the biggest turnaround I've seen so far. Shouldn't that be motivation enough, to get the pelts of the wolves who are right now laughing their asses off because of our weak performance so far? Let's show them that they haven't won yet and that they are celebrating and popping bottles FAR too early.