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Anybody ever thought Tobi is faking his old voice just like he faked being a good boy?
I guess because that's where he got the Sharingan, not because he did anything necessarily special with it. I don't know really.
Well, I'll agree, he certainly got them after his battle with Hashirama. However, you must realize that Madara was talking ONLY to Kabuto during this time, and Kabuto had already guessed that Madara had obtained the Rinnegan. So there was no reason to lie and keep up the farce that he had survived the battle against Hashi, because Kabuto would have already guessed that. Kabuto showed that he knew about the possibility of Madara having the Rinnegan BEFORE Madara said he obtained them before his death, so there was no reason for him to keep up the lie with Kabuto. And knowing that, he could have easily told Kabuto "I got them after my battle with Hashirama", seeing as how that wouldn't surprise nor matter if he told Kabuto in the first place. But he didn't.
Now, lets say for some reason your right about him lying to Kabuto (even though I just proved that's highly unlikely), you must understand that his statement is not the riding point behind my argument. Take that point away from my argument, and it works almost as well, just with a little bump. We know that Nagato's eyes were Madara's old eyes. I doubt that Madara would have transplanted his Rinnegan into Nagato when he was still alive. I'll explain more of this later on...
Your Konan point I also agree with, in a sense. I believe that he spurred on the creation of Akatsuki, but then didn't lead it, instead stood a ways away in the shadows watching them. Then later, once he saw Nagato was growing in power, he moved in close and took control (as Madara). In that case, Konan wouldn't have known him until he "joined" Akatsuki.
And as to the case of Tobi having other techniques and her not planning for them, what says that she didn't? Simply there's the fact there there is no technique short of flying that would allow Tobi to escape her jutsu, especially because he would have to solidify to use any of them (including something that allows him to fly). So actually, her jutsu was a perfect preparation for any jutsu Tobi may or may not have had. There is no implication of him not having other jutsu.
Also, your reasoning as to why he would use only Obito's eye? I would guess because it was the most useful overall. It clearly has a fearsomely powerful and dangerous technique, maybe he just liked it the most.
The rest of your point is based off of the idea that Madara lived beyond giving the Rinnegan to Nagato, but as I'll explain, that's not the case.
What I guess you're saying is that Madara was the original Tobi, who gave Nagato the Rinnegan and who later trained Obito to become the new Tobi (in the scenario that Tobi is in fact Obito). But here's your snag. WHY would he give Nagato the Rinnegan? I explained earlier, if he did in fact survive for a while after obtaining the Rinnegan, why would he remove his, and replace his eye with another? It doesn't make sense. But this scan explains why Nagato was given the Rinnegan (most likely)
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Here, it pretty much expressively shows that Madara EXPECTED to be revived by Nagato. Which means the Rinnegan was given to Nagato with the express purpose to be used later to revive Madara. Now, Madara while alive would have kept his Rinnegan with him, why give it away before he dies? This would mean that he would only give it to Nagato before he died. Which means everything still fits MY reasoning, where Nagato's birth coincides with Madara's death. That's all that really matters to my point.
There's also the obvious point that if Madara gave Nagato the Rinnegan, how would he have done it while fully blind! Similarly, how would he have implanted new eyes into himself after implanting his into Nagato. He obviously had someone else do it for him. And who else but...Tobi? And thus we have another reason as to why Tobi has to have been working WITH Madara, rather than BEING Madara.
I actually believe that he obtained them during the fight with Hashirama. And you say that there was no longer any need to pretend, however, Madara still did considering he only said "I got them shortly before my death". Just be cause Kabuto knows he has the rinnegan, why would Madara go and assume he knows everything? Even if Madara suspected he may know more, surely he wouldn't just come out and tell him.
Kabuto only said, "What I suspected, what awaits when you progress beyond the sharingan, is the rinnegan."
Then, in the next chapter, after Madara did a few techniques. He basically asks Kabuto how much he knows him. Kabuto then makes it known that he knows he didn't die during that battle. This alone proves that no assumptions was made toward Madara living after the valley of the end on Madara's part, despite Kabuto knowing he has the rinnegan.
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So, "I awakened these eyes shortly before my death" was meant for Kabuto to take it as "I awakened these eyes at the valley of the end."
But, Kabuto makes it known that he knows he lived after the valley of the end. What does this mean? It makes the statement "I awakened these eyes shortly before my death." inconclusive...
Although it could mean he awakened them during Nagato's generation, it could also very easily mean he did indeed awaken them at the valley of the end, or even mean he neither awakened them neither at the valley of the end, or "shortly before his death", just sometime after his battle, and just told Kabuto that to close the case; not wanting to assume he knew more, that is, living after the fight.
In fact, looking at that page, Madara seems interested in the fact that Kabuto knew he lived afterwards, and also gained a portion of Hashi's strength, which is funny since they are blessed with long lives lol. And then there's the way Kabuto is speaking..
"I think I'm right that after your battle with the shodai hokage at the valley of the end...you didn't die, did you? At that point in time....despite losing to Hashirama, you gained a portion of Hashirama's strength."
Now as to why I have that part in bold. Let's say I'm talking about an unknown survivor of plane crash. I say, "You didn't die during that crash, did you? You escaped to a nearby island." Or something like that, plenty of other situations could be made, just trying to make a point. And that point is..that Kabuto seems to be relating the two, his living afterwards with his gaining a portion of Hashi's strength. He tells him knows he survived it, but then tells him he knows how. And it actually fits considering we know the senju have long lives, it fits perfectly...
Just as a reminder, Madara didn't know Kabuto knew any of this when he made that statement.
When taking all of this into consideration, that statement by Madara is completely thrown out.
And your right, he could have stayed in the shadows, but by saying this, you're also admitting that there's no proof out there that he was around at all,before he got that eye. And by admitting there's no proof, there's room for Obito theories.
Yes, but you also seem to be forgetting her other statement. "I know exactly how your dimensional transfer works." When put together, "I wasn't just sitting idly by your side the whole time, I know exactly how your dimensional transfer works." It was the only thing she was expecting of Tobi, this was after all before that attack your talking about. Tobi could have very well used another technique before she did hers (During the skirmishes), but he didn't, and she seemed to be sure he wouldn't. And I strongly disagree that there's no implication of him not having other jutsu, it is greatly implied, I would say even purposely by the writer himself.
Tobi has another eye socket, he could use another MS in that eye.
And I see why it doesn't make sense to you, at least partly. You assume that he physically gave Nagato his eyes. That's not necessarily the case at all, Itachi transferred some of his powers over to Sasuke and still had his eyes and all it powers, obviously because Sasuke underwent the operation to have them transplanted. Another case is, Itachi gave a crow his eye. I find it unlikely that he did a transplant on the bird. -_- My point is, it is nothing but assumption that the eyes were transplanted, any explanations couldn't provide solid proof that Madara transplanted them into Nagato. Which again leaves holes for more theories. Now as why, well he obviously knew he was going to die sometime, so giving them to Nagato would have been the smart decision, since he wanted to be revived later.
And, to your last point. Let's not forget about Zetsu, he could have been around during Madara's time as well.
In the end, there's no way to provide ultimate proof that Tobi isn't Obito.
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My final opinion (Bases on things I have discovered from this debate). It is Obito Uchiha with Madara's conscious and knowledge.
Tobi is a guy, who has a Dog called Sasuke, who does everything for Tobi, everything..