My thoughts almost exactly. Whilst I do still agree with this...we just can't be sure due to Sasuke's new sharingan....but I'm sure he still couldn't. The only reason Jiraiya couldn't defeat Orochimaru earlier was because of the Chakra-Inhibiting drug that Tsunade gave to hime.I don't know how people are saying Sasuke is going to win. In part 1 Itachi said that Jiraiya to easily kill him and Kisame. Sasuke just killed Itachi, almost dying himself. Jiraiya would've killed Itachi without being that injured severely. Pein killed Jiraiya, Jiraiya is way better than Sasuke. Pein>Sasuke.
what*s your point? that naruto is smarter than sasuke?Know what? I think that we all overestimate Pein. Of course, he has great power but based only at the mystery behind him. If you know who he is, sooner or later you will solve the mystery, see his tricks and win him. Konoha is working on that with the body Jiraya gave them. It's the things you don't know that you are afraid of. And I think that's why he doesn't keep lots of people close to him.
As for Sasuke, he is pretty strong, but he isn't the smartest person. That's why he wouldn't win Pein. This is a Shikamaru, Neji or Hinata and Naruto situation. Not Sasuke.