I mean honestly, are we really going to do it? History tells us that come November of 2016, we will vote a republican into office. I don't even need to know the candidates and I would still be very willing to take the bet. Knowing how much of a lead Trump has, I'm actually quite certain he will be the next president and I'm actually a little scared. Truth is, that when we have 8 years of the same president, swing voters almost always swap their vote to the opposite party. The pattern becomes even more obvious when the person leaving office has a serious drop in approval rating. The two usually go hand in hand. Most of the population will say after 8 years of Obama that we need a republican in office. The fact the Democrat candidates are quite weak helps the equation, but again, I would take the bet regardless of the candidates.
As for Trump himself, I honestly don't get his attraction as a potential president. I'll let you in on my personal opinion of hm. His potential candidacy for president, in my opinion, is comparable to Arnold Schwarzenegger being governor of California. I thought he was a joke. I was honestly ASHAMED to call him a governor. I feel the exact same about Trump, I would be completely ashamed if he became president.
He's a television star for crying out loud. He's pompous, self-centered, arrogant, downright rude and a whole lot of other demeaning adjectives. I get it, people want change and they like the fact he's not politically correct. Well, we all wanted change when we voted Obama into office and we know what happened there.
Bottom line.... Trump is a shell of a candidate when compared to Fiona and Rubio. They are by far the best choices in my opinion. Can people not see his lack of maturity when compared to these two candidates? For some reason Jeb is way up there in the polls, mostly likely because he carries the name of Bush. I don't really understand Carlson's attraction and honestly I wouldn't want either of them as president. The whole thing baffles my mind and I'm quite frightened by the idea of Trump being the next president.
Please share your thoughts on the matter. If you're a serious Trump supporter, please tell me why you side with him. Thanks.
Trump is saying things that resonate with the way many people feel.
They are tired of a politically correct universe. They are tired of watching the Federal government completely ignore things like immigration laws. They are tired of watching tax dollars get spent on failed programs that do nothing but benefit cronies (Solendra, Cash for Clunkers, Shovel Ready Jobs, etc).
Trump is pretty much coming in and saying: "**** your political correctness, America is for Americans, and let's start spending money to make America strong, again, by reinforcing manufacturing."
That's the essence of Trump's message. He plays the "alpha male" very well - he barks orders and gets things done. People may mock his words or argue against how he went about something, but his character and history is motivating capital assets, people, and information to accomplish a goal. People can respect that, and people gravitate toward that type of individual when they do not feel secure in their current arrangement.
I don't think Trump would be a bad President, honestly. I do, however, believe it would be a sign that America is treading down a dangerous path. There are things Trump is not saying that also concern me. Absent from many of his speeches are things like: "Constitution" and "Limited Government." Trump isn't the type of person who is going to symbolize a return to the American way of life. Trump symbolizes a return of American industrial might and interventionist policy. While I am not a staunch isolationist, I am also more Libertarian in my beliefs that action abroad should only rarely be taken by the Federal State.
Is he really a serious candidate in USA? I wasn't paying attention to US elections.
At present, he is.
There are pretty much four serious candidates for the Office of the President, currently:
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Bernie Sanders
The robot that spoke at a Hillary fundraiser has deeper emotions than her - she just can't campaign. Unless she literally kills off every other candidate in existence, currently, she has no chance (though she would do it if she could get away with it). That, and she should be in jail.
If she is still alive when the U.S. breaks down in revolution, it is my goal to take her into custody and then deliver her to Serbia where they can figure out what to do with her. She was one of the linchpins in the plot to break up Yugoslavia and falsely implicate their nation in genocide. Twice.
Biden has talked about running... but that's just not the direction the winds are blowing.
It really comes down to Bernie Sanders versus whoever wins the nomination for the republicans. I have already promised my closest friends that, for the first time ever in my life, I will drink to the point of inebriation during the debate if it is between Trump and Sanders.
No. He's a publicity candidate. No one will actually vote for him, he's just needed to increase the voting populace.
Polls are mostly name recognition, even when you get up to the final day to vote. Trump has fire - he has drummed up the Republicans. Will they actually vote for him?
If he's the Republican candidate.
The real issue is whether or not some other Republican candidate can drum up enough support -after- the primaries to carry through to the election. If you have someone who won the nomination from a much smaller primary voting block, but who doesn't motivate the average person who typically identifies as Republican in the general election - you've not actually picked the strongest candidate.
It's quite obvious he won't be voted in, I mean honestly he simply doesn't have the support he needs from the Republican party to win. Endorsements are a very critical part of determining who wins, not just because they are a hint to who insiders think will win, but also because the people who make endorsements can influence the outcome of the race by strengthening a candidate’s local ground game, promoting the candidate to fellow party leaders and pitching the candidate to voters. Unless of course, Trump decides to run as an independent.
But honestly only time will tell
He doesn't have the support of the party establishment, really... but there is something of a revolt within the Republican/Conservative sections of the political spectrum that is rallying against the GOP. Most of the people who call themselves Republican have about had it with the party - which is part of Trump's popularity. He is running and gunning while proclaiming a message of 'hard ball' against Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate, alike. Where the GOP establishment appears like a lap dog begging to drink the semen of Democrats/Obama - Trump is saying: "**** your couch!"
And that's what people want. They want people who are actually going to stand up and fight against what they see as the destruction of America - from the very concept of the Rule of Law to the economy to simple things like the right to not be told by the government what kind of router/modem they have to use.
Trump may only stand for part of that - but at least he is standing up and throwing punches back.
Like I said - I don't support his candidacy all that much. I think he is a Nationalist that talks way too much about what to use the power of government for as opposed to what the power of government should be limited to. I can understand the draw to him, though.
Personally, I am 100% in support of Carson. He would have to seriously **** up at this point to get me to question his candidacy. He may not be the most "alpha" among males, but he does have a record of success in leading medical teams. I'll take that. His advisers, so far, seem to be reading the climate well and that means that he seems to have picked solid advisers who have helped to keep him on track. I think he would pick a solid, honest cabinet that is going to have integrity. He and his cabinet will honestly approach problems with the goal of finding the best solution while considering that which falls within certain ideals - such as the Constitution. IE - a policy that may be advantageous but that causes damage to Constitutional limitations of power would likely be considered unacceptable barring extenuating circumstances.
That, and he's made a living where he has had to tell people that they are going to die. He's delivered bad news to people, and helped to counsel them through it. That experience is exactly what America needs. We've opted for politicians who keep telling us what we want to hear - that the tumor in our brains is going to give us super-powers one day, or whatever... People are starting to sour of it - being told that things are better than they actually are, where politicians blatantly lie to the point that even the average person is dumbfounded by the audacity. "Where is the recovery?"
Carson has told people they will die, and that it's time to make peace with it. Just like someone needs to tell this country exactly what the situation is.
You know...
Transparency.
What worries me about Trump is how he is basically promising to get 'pay back' and use the same corrupt systems to benefit a pissed off group of people more so than actually fix the corruption. His cabinet will be picked for being clever and aggressive delegates of authority who will turn the powers of the Presidency against those who have been deemed an enemy and toward accomplishing the stated objectives - with all kinds of manipulations of the laws and systems in the process.
It may get 'us' ahead in the short term... but it's a loss in the long term, in my opinion, as it will only breed further corruption of the government and further abuse of power - which is what has people so on edge at the moment to begin with.
I see the nomination coming down between Trump and Carson, with Carson picking up some serious steam as he comes out stronger on controversial issues. Except rather than simply blasting "I will build a wall!" - he will appeal to the reason behind why a border exists and what immigration controls are for - why they exist.
Which is what will end up undermining Trump's campaign in the long run. Trump is popular because he is delivering strong, unyielding positions that don't try to cater to a population that is never going to vote for a Republican, Conservative, etc. Once the other candidates figure out that they, too, can have strong ideas and win support (to be fair, Carson has long been willing to step out of line - what gained him popularity in the first place was his speech at a dinner with Obama where he mentioned Health Savings Accounts as opposed to Obamacare) - then those candidates will adopt just as unyielding of a tone with some rather staunch opinions to reflect his.
At that point, some of Trump's clout will begin to dry up, as many of the other candidates (such as Carson and Fiorina) are far more articulate and interesting people.
Further, voters can be pretty shallow. They will tend to vote for who looks most Presidential. While trump certainly looks like he could be behind a desk - he also looks like he could be a used car salesman. While that is better than Cristie, both Carson and Fiorina have him beaten out in terms of who looks Presidential.
At this point - support of the "establishment" is pretty much irrelevant. Trump's popularity pretty much firmly establishes that the "GOP establishment" is on its way out. If they somehow manage to muck with the primaries to get someone like Cristie or Bush in - the party pretty much goes into full on revolt and it wouldn't surprise me to see voters opt to recall some of their senators - literally firing them before their term is up.