Look...Listen.
When you come up with a kick-ass title like this one, you're supposed to have a painfully long thesis statement as to why you think Jiraiya is alive.
I saw this on the "latest threads" and thought, "Well, I don't agree with you, but I'll give this a look and see your points and see if you can convince me". Then I see that you have ONE sentence with an emoticon at the end of it, and I think it's hard to take you seriously.
I would love for Jiraiya to be alive, but lets face it. He's dead. It would be something if he used his death as a smokescreen to do investigations on Madara, but it's unlikely.
Let Jiraiya rest in peace.