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I say it's about 50-50 it would depend on what actions he would take considering his skills would be improved by a lot.
Conqueror haki works on those who have a weak mind, the soldiers in marinford all where mostly commander or even captain rank and above, he would have never been able to knock down 50.000 of them, and to remind you, luffy did use conqueror haki in that battle (by accident) and he only managed to knock down a few of them.
Honestly all luffy could have done with his current streanght back then would have been to do some blows to the stronger enemies and probably anticipate the blow from akainu and either move ace out of the way or block the punch with his body aka sacraficing himself.
And all in all, it was Aces fault that he is to proud to ignore those words from akainu.