The question is, whether Minato can land just one hit. If he does, he wins because Madara is marked and the MS (Susanoo) is restricted.
Using his Kunai effectively on a field Madara can change to his advantage will be hard. He can cover the landscape with a forest which will be hard to avoid for Minato. Even if we consider a scenario where Minato already put his markings somewhere out of range, he will basically do nothing but escape. Fighting a Mokuton user of Madara's level in such forest will prove great difficulties, especially when Madara can use dozens of Mokuton Bunshin which had still the level of Chakra to maintain Susanoo. Madara could simply disappear within his clones or hide somewhere in the forest, even able to integrate in the trees [
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]. Unlike Minato, Madara can also see through Kagebunshin and also proved that he can react on someone with the speed of Ay and Naruto.
Remembering Madara's first shot with a less scaled Mokuton technique, Naruto already exhausted himself by stopping this single attack with the aid of Kyuubi's Chakra [
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][
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].