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If Jiraiya catches Orochimaru in Frog Song and uses Goemon, then he takes it. I'll concede that. However. That's a huge if that is affected by a lot of factors. The prep time for frog song is it's biggest weakness, and unless Jiraiya can hide from Orochimaru then it's a no-go. In the event that Jiraiya uses Goemon without Frog Song immobilizing Orochimaru, then Orochimaru has Leech All Creation to evade it.
Also, I have no doubt in my mind that Orochima could tank four Giant Rasengan. Kyuubi beam, albeit weakened by the Triple Rashomon, left his body completely mangled and broken and yet he still had enough fight left in him to push Kyuubi back miles with Kusanagi. Only AFTER this did he use Oral Rebirth to recover from the damage. As far as he's shown, he can recover from everything short of having his body completely vaporized.
Also, my point here isn't that Orochimaru definitely beats Jiraiya. It's that Jiraiya doesn't definitely beat Orochimaru.
@Bold A shadow clone would do fine in stalling him for a few minutes.
As for the finishing tech, Orochimaru can be stepped on/stabbed after he is turned into a frog with
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technique. Problem solved.