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The so called overwhelming evidence you're claiming is flawed because Itachi was in complete liar mode. Using that is not concrete evidence to what Itachi really knows.
Do you really think 13 year old Itachi and 21 year old Itachi is on the same plane of life lessons and intelligence? Common sense. I know you're a smart dude. Are you smarter now or were you smarter 8 years ago.
You also need to acknowledge the fact Minato had the benefit of people helping his plan unwillingly while Itachi had it the other way.
DAT evidence will remain valid until it is compromised by a seperate piece of information. The mere statement 'Itachi was in complete liar mode' is not enough to contradict what we already know about Itachi's mindset. One could argue, if Itachi was truely aware of Tobi lying about being Madara, he would've at least notified one of Bee, Naruto or Sasuke (once he was revived via Kabuto's Edo Tensei). As we know, he did not.
Of course I know Itachi grew smarter as his age increased. But it is totally irrelevant. But what are you going to say to me? 21 year old Itachi is more intelligent than Minato? That is assumption based on weak and threadbare information. The comparison must take place when Itachi formulated his plan; in his youth. Thus, age is a non factor.
I don't quite grasp your final line. I recall that;
- Minato had to save his family
- He had to save his village
- He fought an enemy he initially had no knowledge on
- He deduced said enemy's weakness in moments
- He made an accurate estimation on who that enemy could be, then quickly threw out that idea
- He both wounded Tobi and removed the Kyuubi from his control in one move
- He had to determine whether Naruto truely was the child of the prophecy
- Minato had to weigh up Konoha's military position with regards to the Kyuubi and what to do with it
In minutes. It was pretty much all him if you ask me, save Jiraiya's tip off about the prophecy. To top it all off, it was a success.
Itachi, however, planned for weeks with Danzo by his side. Yet, thus far, formulated a plan destined to fail (which he himself has admitted).