I was taught both that it will cause inflation and that it won't cause it absolutely, however, as we all know inflation will happen regardless thus the value of minimum wage will steadily decrease if nothing is done.
But where does inflation come from? How does it become so that the $1 I have today does not equal $1 of goods from ten years ago?
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apparently debunks most of the arguments against it, including the effect on small business, restaurants, and who actually works minimum wage jobs. It doesn't say anything about whether it will absolutely cause inflation itself, but there doesn't seem to be a consensus on the internet.
No, it doesn't debunk them.
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"Minimum Wage Mythbusters” is a section of the Department of Labor website that seeks to debunk arguments against raising the federal minimum wage. The webpage does not source the data it uses in “busting” the supposed myths about the minimum wage, but an internet search of the statistics found that most of them originate at the leftwing Economic Policy Institute, and happen to directly contradict research and data compiled by official government researchers and statisticians.
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In the same response to the so-called myth that increasing the minimum wage cost jobs, the DOL notes, “more than 600 economists, seven of them Nobel Prize winners in economics, have signed onto a letter in support of raising the minimum wage to $10.10 by 2016.” The letter was released and touted by EPI, and included eight economists associated with EPI.
Conveniently, the DOL does not mention that a group of 500 economists, including four Nobel Prize winners, have signed onto a letter warning against raising the minimum wage.
In challenging the claim that raising the minimum wage would only benefit teens, the DOL states, “88 percent of those who would benefit from a federal minimum wage increase are age 20 or older….”
But according to the DOL’s own Bureau of Labor Statistics, 24.2% of minimum wage workers are between 16 and 19 years of age. In fact, according to the BLS, “Although workers under age 25 represented only about one-fifth of hourly paid workers, they made up about half of those paid the federal minimum wage or less.” The BLS also declares, “Minimum wage workers tend to be young.”
Once again it appears the DOL took this claim from EPI. A 2013 EPI “Economic Snapshot” claims, “88 percent of workers who would benefit from a higher minimum wage are older than 20.” The EPI’s 88% claim relies on EPI’s own analysis of Census and BLS survey data. Why the DOL would use the EPI’s analysis instead of asking its own BLS to analyze the survey data itself is odd to say the least. "
That DOL page is, basically, a page full of shills.
The trick is that it always must be argued in terms of incremental increase. If minimum wage were a fundamental means of improving prosperity, then why not bump it to $100/hour?
There used to be jobs in this nation where you were paid $1 an hour. Prices were much lower back then (the dollar was worth almost 4X as much), so it isn't the slave-wage it sounds like. These were part-time jobs that people took because they had free time to go and do something - like pump gas, wash windows, trim hedges, etc. They were basic tasks that, quite literally, anyone could do.
At that same time, there were jobs that paid $8 an hour in manufacturing. Not all of them, mind you, but they were available.
When minimum wage was first bumped to $2 or $3 an hour, the part-time anyone-can-do jobs went away. You pump your own gas, these days. You have to get out and wash your own windows or pay $10 to go through the automated car wash in back. The costs to YOU didn't change too much - but the service job wasn't just displaced by automation - it has become next to impossible to exist as an alternative to automation due to minimum wage.
The people in the factory are still paid $8 an hour.
Sure, decades later, factory wages may increase over time to around $10 an hour for labor and assistance work, but this is only marginally above minimum wage and, as if by some cruel magic, their wages are no longer worth as much as they used to be due to inflation - which is some mystical fundamental force as assumed by today's population that has been bred to accept it as a fact of all economies.
Yes, there have existed economies where there was no inflation. America used to be one. That changed in 1913 with the Federal Reserve and the implementation of the Federal Income Tax.
Anyway - if you were to suddenly increase minimum wage to, say, $15 or $20 an hour - even the liberal economic advisers would start screaming that it would be a problem.
Now, it will still do the same thing 5 years from now to raise the minimum wage, again, to make it $20 an hour, or so. It will still eliminate the same type of jobs and destroy the same aspects of the economy. Many things in life will become so expensive that there will be government relief programs targeted at them - tax credits, rebates, etc. Many corporations will only be able to exist, by this point, as contracted by the federal government.
This is part of the overall goal of liberal economics.
It isn't about how much you or I make. It isn't about our success or our prosperity. It is about whether or not we are doing what is deemed to be worth our time and effort. People making HD TVs is a waste of time and energy - they should be making solar panels, instead. You don't need to be washing windows in your free time, you need to be studying hard to become the doctor who will save the life of a Congressman's child (who gets bumped up the waiting list).
It's basically an alternative route to becoming the USSR. It is, economically, identical to the model used within the USSR.
I think that there is nothing wrong with incremental increases to adjust for inflation. If nothing is done at least minimally, then minimum wage becomes worth even less than it was, guaranteed.
Sounds like the real problem is inflation and the only way you can think of to solve it is to hold a gun to someone's head and tell them to pay their employees more.
Let's actually bother to understand how our economy works, shall we?
Please forgive the introduction to this video - skip the first minute if you wish:
[video=youtube;iFDe5kUUyT0]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iFDe5kUUyT0[/video]
When there was no such thing as a federally endorsed central bank and the nation operated upon gold and silver backed currency - there were localized times of inflation AND DEFLATION - the net effect was quasi-neutral. Banks, since they were also not reinforced with guarantees on their loans by federal programs ("bailouts"), could not engage in such extensive fractional reserve lending.
When the currency supply is simply numbers ("Fiat"), it is easy to guarantee a bailout for banks. When currency is gold or silver that must be mined and refined - it's much more difficult to simply promise to 'bail out' a bank if they make errors in loaning money.
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Increasing minimum wage will not solve the problem.
The only way to solve the problem is to get rid of the Federal Reserve, get rid of Federal Income Tax, and to return to a gold and silver backed standard of currency.
There really is no other alternative.