Lol,you put it blunty but i agree with your sentiment.I just don't think kishi will do it.
First off, no such thing as a 100% criminal.You either are one or your aren't, sure there are grey areas, but sasuke crossed those years ago.
Secondly, I made the poll so i can't see what people thought, and i won't flame you for thinking that he will be forgiven(nothing wrong with that).I just happened to disagree,and corrected some factual mistakes.
Lastly, you can't just say look at gaara

He got away with murder so obviously sasuke should too.You have to look at what sasuke did at judge him from that.Sasuke did far worse things than gaara, and unlike gaara sasuke had everybody's support, but he still not only left konoha, but he did stuff that(in my opinion) he can't take back like the whole kage summit fiasco.It was his choice to not listen anybody.If he had returned after "killing" itachi i think he would have been forgiven.