Madara and Danzou

Alucard

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1) Knowledge of 'The Truth'

Madara says that the only people who know the truth about Itachi are the three elders, and that there is no way they would ever speak of the truth, and that that was what Itachi wanted. Madara states that Itachi doubted whether or not Madara knew. This begs the question:

If the elders were never going to tell anyone, and Itachi himself was not going to tell anyone, how exactly does Madara know?

Nobody would know the truth about Itachi if Itachi didn’t want them to. Itachi could easily justify sparing Sasuke to Madara by claiming it was for his own EMS. But how did Madara have in-depth knowledge of Itachi’s motives and his ultimately benevolent plans for both Sasuke and Konoha? Well, to put it another way, the only person who would have a clue as to Itachi’s true intentions would be Danzou, since Danzou exploited the fact that Itachi cared so much for the village and convinced him to kill his clan for it. Madara actually relates the entire story with knowledge of details of what the elders and Danzou were doing as well, for example, the fact that the Uchiha were under surveillance. His in-depth knowledge of the actions and intentions of both Itachi and the elders strongly suggests that Madara is connected with Danzou.

2) The Training

Both ANBU and the Mist village were known to employ similar methods of training; a program that culminated in a duel to the death between fraternal friends. Madara is no stranger to such an experience, as he murdered his best friend decades ago, and it did make him stronger as a ninja. For Danzou, it helped to create obedient subordinates. We know that Madara is/was the Mizukage, and that the Hidden Mist employed similar methods of training. It would seem this is Madara's own special training program.

Notice here Madara says that he was looking for an 'opportunity for war'. This choice of words is not valid if Madara is not a leader of some kind: either Mizukage or Danzou or both.

3) Itachi and Madara

Madara states Itachi was the only one who discovered that he was alive. This makes no sense whatsoever. How does Itachi, a child resident of Konoha, become enlightened with knowledge that even Jiraiya did not know to certainty? Madara wasn't exactly parading himself around Konoha for all to see. If Danzou is connected to Madara, and Danzou is Itachi's source, then it makes sense.

According to Itachi, Madara was his teacher. It is worthy of note that Madara does not mention training Itachi to Sasuke because he wouldn't want to associate himself with Danzou or with training a man knowlingly for the purpose of massacring the clan.

So, what could Itachi be talking when saying that Madara was his teacher?

Itachi was talking about none other than the notorious 'kill your friend' program. Madara/Danzou trained Itachi in two ways:

A- Madara disclosed to Itachi the secrets of the sharingan: the MS and the EMS. Itachi planned his future and that of Sasuke with this knowledge. This explains how Itachi ever came to know of the MS.

B- Madara related to Itachi his own, personal story, and trained Itachi to kill or suppress his emotions, just as Madara had to do during the days of endless battle and slaughter, when Madara even used his own friend and brother. This explains how Itachi came to know of Madara's past. An integral part of it all would have had to have been killing Shisui. Murdering Shisui, who was very close to Itachi, was important for the MS and for fighting his emotions and a taste of what was to come.

It is also important to note that there is no way Itachi left the village to be trained. It's difficult to imagine that a 13 year-old could leave the village for training every now and then, and there is no evidence to suggest so. It is more logical to think that Itachi was trained within Konoha, by Danzou/Madara. Itachi would have been spending much of his time with Danzou anyway after he was drafted into ANBU, and it is noted by the other Uchiha that Itachi's attitude changed soon after he joined the black ops. He also murdered Shisui after he joined ANBU, and this shows the Madara influence, because as explained earlier, Itachi would not have known about the MS otherwise.

4) The Massacre

We learn that in all likelihood, Danzou was the who one suggested the idea of the Uchiha massacre. Here, notice that Danzou is the only one shown in the top-left, and he is the most assertive of the elders anyway. The 3rd tried for a truce but failed. One would expect that if Danzou really did oppose the 3rd and his philosophies, that he would take sides with Uchiha and actually help them with the coup. But instead, Madara/Danzou went against the Uchiha, because he harbored hatred towards the Uchiha as well as the village. But, this isn’t all.

Not only did Madara/Danzou pass down the order for the massacre to Itachi (black ops agent), but Madara got to actively participate in the action himself. So, this is what the story is if Madara and Danzou are not linked in any way: Danzou orders the massacre, Itachi miraculously discovers Madara is still alive and then asks for his help. This is very convenient, perhaps a little too much, as Madara gets to indulge in his revenge without actively setting it up (because he was asked by Itachi), thus remaining ‘clean’ enough to get Sasuke on his side? To me, it’s more like Madara was looking for an opportunity for revenge, and when Itachi showed up, he had the means to do it. So, Danzou/Madara orders the massacre, reveals the truth about Madara to Itachi and that he should seek him for help, for both the massacre and the training (or Danzou simply reveals that he is Madara).

I am also entertaining the thought that it was Madara who manipulated the Uchiha into planning a coup d’?tat in the first place, thus creating a basis for the massacre. I think he could have done this in two ways:

A- Danzou could have told the Uchiha that they should overthrow the 3rd, and that his black ops division would assist them. Firstly, Danzou is firm in his opposition to the philosophy of the Hokages, as Tsunade says. We know that he actually fought the 3rd for the title as well. Therefore, the Uchiha would have seen him as a potential ally. Secondly, it has already been hinted that the Uchiha thought they had allies in ANBU. There is some speculation in the spoiler below.

If this is the case, then it is possible that Itachi found out about Madara/Danzou's plan to take leadership (even if the Uchiha helped in the coup, it would be Danzou who would become Hokage) in Konoha, but instead reached a compromise with Madara: he would help eliminate the Uchiha, but let the village be. In other words, the massacre may have been Itachi's idea in an effort to save the village at the expense of the clan, and Madara didn't mind, because he was vengeful toward Uchiha as well. Madara didn't care much, as he eventually planned to take over the village as well; it was just a matter of time as he would outlive Itachi. But this way, Madara got his fill of revenge as well. And now that Itachi is dead, Madara/Danzou intends to take Konoha. If this is true, then it would make sense for Itachi to educate Sasuke about the EMS, and explain why he told him about Madara; Itachi was preparing Sasuke to take down Madara in the long-term, as Itachi could not do it himself.

B- Madara could have provoked the rebellion indirectly using the Fox. After unleashing the Fox (see spoiler below), everyone grew wary of Uchiha and they were isolated by Danzou, and the 3rd opposed it.. Moreover, it was Danzou's black ops that were in charge of monitoring Uchiha. Danzou subjected Uchiha to increasing pressure and discrimination until Uchiha felt like they had no other choice but to fight for their freedom and their pride as a powerful clan. In effect, Danzou forced a rebellion, and if he really opposed the 3rd and not Uchiha, he shouldn't have discriminated against them. It is clear that had he wanted, Danzou could have avoided discriminating against Uchiha and seemed like he was giving them the benefit of the doubt after the Fox attack. He would have had the 3rd's support as well, and thus would have succeeded.

The bottom line is that Danzou/Madara could have used one or both of the above means to induce a coup d'etat.

I believe that Madara summoned and sicced the Fox on Konoha. Here we get the impression that Madara was controlling the Fox and Shodai was trying to subdue it. It is almost certain that after this battle, the Fox was not in Konoha or with Shodai. If it were, we would have expected the Fox to have been sealed within a Jinchuuriki, simply because it was the only bijuu that Shodai kept for his own village; he distributed the others. Thus, if it were sealed into a Jinchuuriki and passed from one generation to another as in the Hidden Sand, there would never have been an Fox attack on Konoha to begin with.

Shodai and the Bijuus

I believe that the Fox has always been the bijuu of the Uchiha. This would explain how the Uchiha didn't get demolished by Senju like every other clan; they also had a bijuu which they could control. This would also justify the suspicions of the Konoha elders after the Fox attacked.

We must first calculate how many bijuu Shodai had, and this is simple arithemetic:

Here, Madara says Shodai had several bijuus. Note that he says 'several' and not 'all'. Therefore, Shodai did not have all the bijuus.

In the same reference, Madara proceeds to say that Shodai first gave one to each of the great nations. Exluding Konoha, that would make 4 nations and thus 4 bijuus. However, we know that the country of Lightning received 2 bijuus (KillerBee and Nii Yugito were Jinchurikis). There could be two reasons for this:

1) They were the weakest country at the time, and needed 2 bijuus for balancing the power.
2) They demanded a heavy price for peace, maybe because they were the strongest country after the Fire nation.

In any case, Shodai distributed 5 bijuus here (3 single bijuus + 2 bijuus to Lightning). Then, he gave to 'other lands'. Now since that is in plural, it would mean at least 2 bijuus. Thus, simple arithemetic tells us 5 + 2 = 7 bijuus minimum (maximum 8).

We are told that prior to the creation of the great nations, clans fought each other endlessly. Here, Itachi says Madara 'took control' of every clan he encountered. I think that during this era, clans fought each other, and the winning clan would simply take various items from the defeated one as spoils of war, and this would include bijuu. This also explains how Shodai had so many bijuu: by fighting and defeating various clans, Shodai obtained almost all the bijuu. There is no reason that Shodai could not obtain all the bijuu, except that one of the bijuus could be controlled by the sharingan as shown here, namely the Fox. So, I think that Shodai probably had all the bijuus except the Fox. He gave out all of his own bijuus, and what remained were Madara and the Fox, which was kept in the village. When Madara rebelled, he took the Fox with him, and this left Konoha without a bijuu.

Conclusion

Madara had custody of the Fox and was responsible for the attack on Konoha, just as Itachi said.

5) Danzou's Rebellion

Danzou seems to have foreknowledge of Pains attack. The elders clearly say that Danzou said it was Akatsuki’s leader attacking.

Of course this begs the question, how did Danzou know?

The only people who should know are the remaining Akatsuki who were at the meeting. This strongly suggests a connection between Madara and Danzou.

Furthermore, Danzou seems rather well prepared for a coup, considering that Pain’s attack should have had the element of surprise. In fact, his predictions seem a little too accurate. Not only is Danzou right about Tsunade having no clue about the rebellion, but Danzou predicts that the village will avoid complete destruction because of Tsunade and Katsuya. This is remarkable. Firstly, for anyone to assume that two ninjas can actually take on an entire village is absurd; it would appear Danzou knows somewhat of the abilities of Pain. Secondly, it has played out exactly as Danzou said: Katsuya protected everyone from Shinra Tensei. Danzou's use of the words 'total annihilation' is rather odd, and it almost seems like he is predicting Shinra Tensei.

In any case, how could Danzou's actions be so well-suited for the circumstances, and his predictions so accurate, if he has no connection with Pain or Madara?

The timing of Danzou’s rebellion in relation to Itachi’s death is significant as well. We learn that Itachi warned Madara not to 'touch' Konoha, but as soon as Itachi dies, Madara says that Konoha is no longer off-limits. Madara predicted the outcome of the Itachi-Sasuke battle (as he knew 'the truth'), so he knew Itachi would die. As soon, as Itachi dies, Pain is sent to Konoha to wreak havoc, and Danzou is perfectly prepared to rebel. Again, far too convenient. Now, ROOT could have rebelled after Orochimaru’s invasion, but they didn’t, possibly because Madara did not want to take action during Itachi’s lifetime. It was an excellent opportunity though, as Konoha was left damaged and without a Kage.

So why didn't he?

Itachi threatened Madara, but with what? I think Itachi said that he would reveal that Madara was Danzou or that he was Mizukage if Madara did anything to Konoha or Sasuke. Madara says that Itachi was the only one who knew of him (perhaps Itachi was the only one who knew that Madara is Danzou). I think that Itachi could not have killed Madara by himself, otherwise there was no reason for Itachi to leave him alive in the first place and risk his brother's fate. Therefore, I found this(middle-right frame) thought of Madara's to be puzzling. But now, I think that Madara was not referring to Itachi killing him, but instead referring to Itachi revealing his identity and existence, which would eventually lead to Madara's demise at the hands of Konoha and perhaps even the Mist. Had Itachi known that Madara was aware of his secret, Itachi might have revealed the truth and endangered Madara. I also think that the reason Itachi returned to Konoha after Orochimaru's invasion was to prevent Danzou (Madara) from doing anything drastic or from becoming Hokage after the 3rd died. I believe this is how Itachi protected the village and Sasuke from Danzou.

6) 'X' Marks the Man

Last but not least, the wall behind Madara here is marked with an X, and a similar X can be found on Danzou's chin (credit to sumtheory for posting this find). The X appears just as Madara explains that he felt betrayed, almost as if marking the beginning of Madara's revenge. And now Danzou, a man heading the currently looming rebellion, is marked with it.

In conclusion, I think that it is quite likely that Danzou is Madara. If not, then Danzou is most certainly collaborating with Madara.

PS: I am quite aware that Danzou covers his right eye and Tobi has a sharingan in the same, but at the moment, I seriously doubt whether that has any significance at all.

Please read the spoiler below for preemptive answers to certain questions.

Q1- If Madara is Danzou, why did he send Sai to kill Sasuke given Madara's interest in Sasuke?

1) I think Danzou did it so that Sasuke doesn't suspect Danzou is Madara. Now, it is clear that Sasuke desires to kill Danzou and the advisors after hearing Madara's story. If Sasuke were to find out that he was Danzou and that he had the major hand in the massacre, Sasuke would obviously go after Madara instead of collaborating with him, which is what Madara believes Sasuke is doing now (even if he suspects that Sasuke might betray Akatsuki later on). Therefore, if Sasuke knew that Danzou tried to kill him through Sai, he wouldn't suspect Danzou and Madara to be the same person, since Madara took him in, gave him a history lesson, and made him part of Akatsuki after Itachi's death. I believe this is the most likely answer.

2) Madara's plans can change with time. As I said earlier, it's premature to make any firm statements about Madara's precise goals at that time. Actually, it is difficult to make any sound statements of Madara's goals for Sasuke even now. At the time, Madara may have wanted to eliminate Sasuke as a potential threat to the village for when he became Hokage later, or maybe he simply sent Sai to test how strong Sasuke had actually become. Madara clearly had an interest in Sasuke's development, as shown here and here. He may even have sent Sai on a suicide mission because he sensed Sai was getting emotionally attached to that book of his.

Q2- Why does Danzou prevent Naruto from returning if he is Madara?

1) Well, one less strong ninja (and I think you’ll agree that Naruto is strong now) means that there would be more damage by Pain, and an easier ensuing coup as well.

2) It is uncertain whether or not Madara actually wants Pain to actually get a hold of all the bijuus. Madara may not be true to his word with Pain, as he clearly promises Sasuke one of the bijuus. We know that Madara and gang have had opportunities to snatch Naruto, but haven’t done so. So, Danzou eliminates the messenger frog to keep Naruto from returning as well.

The exact reason that Madara may not want Pain to capture and seal all the bijuus depends on his motives, which are currently unknown. Any statement about them is premature, and so we can only speculate. But I think the reason that Madara does not want Pain to have all the bijuu is because he may want the Fox for himself. If the Fox is sealed within the statue, there's not telling what will happen, or whether Madara would ever be able to retireve it. Madara may also not want Pain to be successful in causing widespread terror. These are two different individuals with different goals. It is very difficult to say with our limited knowledge at present.

This is all a theory i found on onemanga. Just tought that would be interesting
 
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