Interesting night....and interesting EoD. A no lynch that ended dramatically.
Analyzing the night results, on first instance, we had three night kills (one more than the general expectation for the current amount of players). The killed players were Evan (surprising kill, at least for me, considering he didn't post much and his post value was confined in pointing out his tone reads), Odd (Again, surprising kill considering he looked like he was a reasonable lynch target for those that are unfamiliar with his style) and Aivion (I actually thought Aivion was a wolf while reading based on tone and overall approach D1).
Out of the people killed, the one who piqued my attention the most was Odd for the reasons already stated. He was subjected to a considerable amount of suspicion so I have a theory that there's a high chance he hit the nail with at least one of his reads. I wouldn't completely rule out the possibility of this being a frame attempt but I think this angle is worth looking at:
Here were his main suspects:
Mr. Lonely: Odd's main suspect and where he placed his vote. While I was reading, I have to admit that I didn't find his posts as suspicious as the rest of the players. I always had a neutral read on him. His interaction with Odd, his reaction vote and Odd's kill and flip though, makes me really assign him a slight wolf lean and out of the three suspects, he's the one I think would, more likely than not, NK Odd.
Dukestar: can't really say I remember a lot from him and even after doing an ISO, he still hasn't make an impression strong enough to assign him an alignment. A couple of soft pushes here and there. However, considering Odd himself never really did a strong push or never interacted with him whatsoever (meaning there was no pressure on him), I believe he's the least likely to go after Odd.
LanMisa: the most interesting read for me by a long shot, mostly because I was flip flopping between assigning him a town read and a wolf read. At the beginning of the game, I thought he was a very fairly easy town read for me. I did understand, at that point, why he had never being mislynched. That kind of relaxed energy very rarely is misaligned but I have to admit that his reaction to Sleeping Terror's advance, pinged me.
While I do believe the cult joke was taken out of context and pushed far more than necessary, the flow of the initial state of the interaction caught my attention.
This is the first post in which Sleeping Terror expresses that she's grown wary of both Aivion and Misa.
In this post, she expresses, first, that she might be tinfoiling (which means she's aware that her current lead might be nothing) and second, that she's going to word it properly after. At that point, she hadn't given an explanation of what exactly is making her change her read on LanMisa from a town read to a wolf read.
I understand the next logical step is to ask the necessary questions but instead of inquiring further on what exactly is that has Sleeping Terror uneasy, Misa's responds as follows:
To me it feels overtly defensive considering how soft Sleeping Terror's push was. Panicky even?. I do admit Misa made me feel a bit more at ease afterwards but I still can't shake this reaction off.
On another note, have to admit that I felt like Ryu was trying to buddy Odd which I consider to be, more times than not, wolf behavior. Their read/behavior were too aligned with each other for my taste. Got my eyes on you Ryu.
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Mechanically speaking, the amount of kills could mean two things for me. We either had a vig shot (in this case, I understand Odd was a vig? though I'm not 100% sure with the wording) and we're facing 2 killing anti-town factions/roles or we're really facing three killing anti-town roles/factions. I do think Odd is the type of person who would shoot N1 so another possibility is that he shot Vlad, causing Aivion to die. This is also a factor to consider when looking at his suspect list.
Finally I have thoughts on other players as well though I will make another post for them. This one is already long enough.
