[Discussion] Korean War 2?

-Drāke-

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South Korea has blocked access to a tourist observatory close to the border with North Korea, in response to escalating tensions between the two rivals.

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So what do you think it is? Actually might be a real threat or another regular bluff?
 

Aim64C

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Hmm...

The deciding factor, here, is just how far the North is willing to take this.

South Korea has long wanted to re-unite the peninsula under the banner of peace, and that idea has been shattered over the past several years.

When I first went to Korea in 2008, the college kids held a protest outside of our small little U.S. military base (smallest U.S. Navy base on the planet at the time). Part of it is that the college kids must participate in a protest as part of a mandatory course, so it was fairly popular to go for the low-lying fruit of the foreigners who have a military base in their nation over a war fought before all of them were born.

In 2009, North Korea torpedoed that South Korean ship, and attitudes began to change. When I returned in 2009, there was a notable lack of protests.

If I remember correctly, the artillery shelling of an island took place in 2010 not too long before I went in August for Ulchi Freedom Guardian (... I believe, because Foal Eagle is the one in the spring). The attitude I seemed to get from most of the people, including the younger ones, was a more general sense of relief that there was someone else willing to stand in the way if the North got more aggressive.

This shakes things up quite a bit, but we'll just have to see how far North Korea is willing to go.

If they push it, they will lose. The problem is that a re-unification of Korea will bankrupt South Korea. It is not economically possible for the two to become the same financial entity at this point in time. It would take at least a decade or two of free market development of North Korea before the idea of unifying the two would be realistic.
 

BlacLord™

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I've said it before and I'll say it again, it's like the Cold War all over again.

North Korea is that bratty kid in the playground bragging about his big toys (which I doubt the existence of). Though I have to say that even I have an uneasy feeling about the tensions there right now.

If this did come to something substantial, I'd hope that the rest of the world handles themselves with precision and delicacy. Though I doubt the North could handle the South anyway.
 
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