Now there is alot of logical thought on who exactly is tobi. The top two candidates are obito and izuna. They are alot of logical reasons why tobi can be obito or izuna. For people who dont believe it cant be obito cuz he was buried under rocks. in episode 140 it shows izuna in a coffin. That goes to show that anything is possible. so putting aside the logical thinking lets look at the pattern of the actual author. In the world of naruto, the whole series is based on the hidden leaf village. in that village the series is mainly focused on three teams.
Team Sannin
Orochimaru,Tsunade,Jiraiya
Team 4th Hokage
kakashi, Rin, Obito
Team 7
Sasuke, Sakura , Naruto
These three teams have alot in common.
1. There is a natural gifted genius in each one. For ex. Oro, kakashi, and sasuke.
2. theres a person who has alot of potential and works hard to become strong. For example Jiraiya, naruto, and possibly obito. obito is the hidden factor here.
3. theres a sensei outside of the team leader. For example, jiraiya had the toad sage help him learn sage techniques. naruto had jiraiya to help him with rasengan.
but what of team 4th hokage?? Now here the idea the madara saved and trained obito makes sense.
4. Out of these three teams there is also a good guy who transforms into an enemy. For ex. Oro and sasuke.Possibly obito?? again hidden factor.
I think setting aside the logical thinking and focusing on the pattern of the author is a better strategy on deciding the identity of tobi. if you look it at this way you can pretty much say that tobi is a ninja from the hidden leaf and that the only candidates can be from the hidden leaf not exactly obito. since the 4th hogake assumed tobi was madara because he knew all of the secrets of the leaf village such as the special barriers set and the seal becoming weak from birth.