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The creation of the universe can be explained mathematically, without God a factor. Does God and the supernatural exist? Maybe? But there is no evidence to support the existence of either.
I'm a realist and I build on a foundation of what is tangible. God and the supernatural have no tangible evidence of their existence. Until there is some evidence of God or the supernatural that is able to be proven, I find it pointless to speculate on their existence since the only thing people base their belief in God or the supernatural is faith.
You also have to take into account that throughout all of human history, how many religions have existed? God or God(s) were always just a convenient way to explain the workings of a world which people at the time didn't understand.
Science is objective and if the existence of God or the supernatural was real, then science would take it into account. But as it stands now, no such evidence has been procured and all Gods of all religions have essentially been debunked. There is no Olympus, Valhalla, Xibalba, and the what is written in the Bible, Quran, and the Talmud is historically inaccurate and contradictory which raises questions about the validity of those texts.
Based on beliefs and understanding of reality my rationale why I believe the supernatural exists is because I believe GOD exists.
And I believe god exists for many reasons but something anyone can readily appreciate and ponder is if reality is finite and dependant then reality comes from something that's eternal and independant. And there's good reason to believe that reality is created because based on the reality that's readily perceivable we see it's a casual reality.
And second thing is does free will truly exist and if so can free will exist in a determinist reality.
You don't have to agree with these points but understand it opens the door for a god to rationale exist and in turn give more credence for concept of supernatural to exist. I personally think what people gravitate towards is based on their internal paradigm life if internally you view live life from materialist lens then that's how you'll see the world and vice versa if you see life from a spiritual lens.
Even tho most people believe in God and supernatural without a rationale reason and their belief is usually based on some internal or external perception doesn't mean there isn't a rationale reason to believe.
Due to our ignorance and sometimes arrogance as people we make the assumption that were getting the full perspective of reality and think we seen what's there to see and heard what's there to hear.
Sometimes you have to ask if were working off a complete lens of reality and given things full consideration. On questions like does god exist it should be asked how can we potentially perceive if a god exists.
Me personally I've spent years deeply considering these questions most people either come to their conclusions based how they superficially perceive life or just let others spoonfeed what to believe and why. The point I'm making most people don't give these questions real consideration or even know how to go about potentially answering these questions so fundamentally pretty much all people basis of whatever belief or disbelief is based on assumptions and for many just an issue of preference.
And something else that needs to be understood is in sciences it's not purely about finding answers but creating explanations and much of the core assumptions in the sciences is rooted in creating a model of reality thats always existed and doesnt need a god to explain it. Also other thing is just because we see so much that's wrong doesn't mean it's right and also need to see how our own bias and preferences may cause us not to acknowledge things. Some assume to believe in God or supernatural is based on their bias and preference and that might be true of some but you need to understand how your beliefs can be rooted in the same thing.